Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T12:02:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C5 0xc508…f6b5 sports 110 markets active 2h ago coverage 45d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,250 (-4%) realized −$2,250 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate88%97W / 13L
Whale WR86%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$478per market
Trades / day11.0pace
Fees−$713est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$310
7 days−$664
14 days−$404
30 days−$1,422
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 94% −$1,853
other 6% −$901
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -13.7% -21.9% 80% 30% -32.0%
≤30d 45 -3.3% -12.5% 89% 24% -16.6%
≤90d 110 -2.8% -12.1% 88% 22% -14.3%
all 110 -2.8% -12.1% 88% 22% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 22% -14.3%
10% -20.5% 6% -22.5%
15% -28.2% 2% -30.0%
20% -35.2% 1% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 86% (≥$644) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -5% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$480 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,250
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses97 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$713
Open positions0
Markets (closed)110 / 110
History coverage45d
Avg bet$478
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 110 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $84 +$9 +11%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 21 $319 −$319 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 Winner Jun 19 $330 +$17 +5%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $333 +$17 +5%
Dota 2: Hive vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 18 $299 +$33 +11%
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Martyna Kubka Jun 18 $285 +$34 +12%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $22 +$1 +5%
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djere Jun 16 $40 +$1 +4%
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik Jun 16 $504 −$504 -100%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $458 +$46 +10%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $419 +$46 +11%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $328 +$63 +19%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $109 +$11 +10%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $375 +$19 +5%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $306 +$29 +9%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $328 +$14 +4%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $288 +$52 +18%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $273 +$26 +10%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Yosuke Watanuki Jun 08 $538 +$19 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $201 −$201 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $191 +$10 +5%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $187 +$8 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $170 +$17 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $164 +$7 +4%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $165 +$6 +4%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $160 +$5 +3%
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio Nava Jun 05 $125 +$41 +33%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $120 +$5 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $119 +$5 +4%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 05 $114 +$6 +5%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $1,191 −$557 -47%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $549 +$23 +4%
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen Jun 03 $445 +$113 +25%
Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 02 $456 +$41 +9%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1,105 −$1,105 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,064 +$43 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $1,028 +$64 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $993 +$34 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $894 +$98 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $851 +$39 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $820 +$33 +4%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets May 27 $700 +$144 +20%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $68 +$6 +9%
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikova May 24 $663 +$73 +11%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $662 +$6 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $507 +$180 +36%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Felix Gill vs Kyrian Jacquet May 22 $516 +$65 +13%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Maria Lourdes Ca May 22 $510 +$8 +2%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 22 $495 +$15 +3%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro May 21 $418 +$76 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winner SELL OG 100¢ $93 1h
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winner BUY OG 90¢ $84 1h
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 70¢ $104 40h
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 70¢ $98 40h
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 70¢ $117 40h
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 Winner SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $347 2d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 95¢ $330 2d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner SELL LGD Gaming 100¢ $350 3d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 95¢ $333 3d
Dota 2: Hive vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner SELL Power Rangers 100¢ $332 3d
Dota 2: Hive vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner BUY Power Rangers 90¢ $299 3d
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Martyna Kubka SELL Alina Korneeva 74¢ $319 3d
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Martyna Kubka BUY Alina Korneeva 65¢ $285 4d
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Refuser 100¢ $23 5d
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Refuser 95¢ $22 5d
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djere SELL Jesper de Jong 49¢ $11 5d
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djere SELL Jesper de Jong 49¢ $2 5d
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djere SELL Jesper de Jong 49¢ $28 5d
Parma: Jesper de Jong vs Laslo Djere BUY Jesper de Jong 46¢ $40 5d
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 45¢ $504 6d
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner SELL Roar Gaming 99¢ $504 6d
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner BUY Roar Gaming 90¢ $180 6d
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner BUY Roar Gaming 90¢ $166 6d
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner BUY Roar Gaming 90¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner BUY Roar Gaming 90¢ $111 6d
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner SELL Vici Gaming 100¢ $465 7d
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner BUY Vici Gaming 90¢ $21 7d
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner BUY Vici Gaming 90¢ $359 7d
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner BUY Vici Gaming 90¢ $39 7d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova SELL Anastasia Zakharova 60¢ $391 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 509 history records