Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc4f5…47ba
crypto · 1674 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$749 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$631 · open −$117
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$631
Unrealized−$117
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1325 / 347
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1672 / 1674
History coverage20d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day129.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$521
30 days−$631
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 46¢ $69 $53 −$16 (-23%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $541 $0 −$541 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET Jun 03 $552 −$541 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET Jun 03 $443 +$91 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET Jun 03 $337 +$104 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET Jun 03 $380 −$24 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 03 $103 −$93 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 03 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET Jun 03 $104 +$147 +141%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 03 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 03 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 03 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 03 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 03 $73 −$73 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET Jun 03 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET Jun 03 $205 −$205 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET Jun 03 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET Jun 03 $157 −$86 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET Jun 03 $206 +$152 +74%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 03 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Jun 03 $207 −$190 -92%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $207 −$79 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$2 -31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET Jun 02 $103 +$88 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9AM ET Jun 02 $104 +$99 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 02 $52 +$43 +84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$559
other 2% −$189
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $70 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $102 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $232 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $535 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $290 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $58 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $69 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $441 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 0% -6.9%
≤30d 1672 -1.1% -10.5% 79% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1672 -1.1% -10.5% 79% 2% -10.5%
all 1672 -1.1% -10.5% 79% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 1% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.0% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.22 · official $53.22 (match) · 3500 history records