trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 33% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -4.2% | -13.4% | 40% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 22 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 50% | 5% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 5% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 5% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 8¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $4 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 25 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 24 | $6 | −$2 | -26% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 21 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 14 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 28 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 23 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Prince Edward Island in t | Apr 22 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 21 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Run | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 31 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| FCSB vs. PAOK | Mar 04 | $8 | +$3 | +35% |