Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:31:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc4e2…993b
sports · 136 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses14 / 122
Open positions0
Markets (closed)136 / 136
History coverage150d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $95 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $97 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $39 $0 -0%
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 25 $91 $0 -0%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 19 $2 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 19 $27 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 19 $4 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Feb 19 $198 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 19 $43 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 19 $49 $0 -0%
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 19 $45 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 19 $124 $0 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 19 $81 $0 +0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? Feb 18 $45 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 18 $93 $0 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 18 $50 $0 -0%
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? Feb 18 $46 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru Feb 18 $67 $0 -0%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Feb 18 $13 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Feb 18 $151 $0 -0%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Feb 18 $38 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Feb 18 $45 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 18 $151 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Feb 18 $60 $0 +0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 18 $52 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 18 $162 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 18 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 18 $83 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 18 $51 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 18 $45 $0 -0%
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? Feb 18 $49 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 18 $51 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Feb 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Feb 14 $74 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Feb 14 $131 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Feb 14 $104 −$1 -1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Feb 14 $57 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 14 $60 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Feb 14 $66 $0 -0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 14 $54 $0 -0%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Feb 14 $105 $0 -0%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? Feb 14 $168 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Feb 14 $93 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Feb 14 $51 $0 -0%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? Feb 14 $123 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? Feb 14 $106 $0 -0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Feb 14 $54 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Feb 11 $50 $0 -0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Feb 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Feb 11 $55 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 29% −$2
politics 26% −$2
other 16% −$2
crypto 9% −$1
economics 7% −$2
culture 6% −$1
world 3% −$1
tech 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $47 1h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $47 7h
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 96¢ $38 13d
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 96¢ $38 13d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 95¢ $39 26d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 95¢ $39 29d
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL No 98¢ $47 108d
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $2 114d
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $2 114d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? SELL No 97¢ $3 114d
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? BUY No 97¢ $3 114d
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 97¢ $4 114d
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 97¢ $4 114d
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 98¢ $48 114d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $45 114d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $45 114d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $43 114d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $43 114d
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? SELL No 95¢ $49 114d
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? BUY No 95¢ $49 114d
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? SELL No 93¢ $45 114d
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? BUY No 93¢ $45 114d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $44 114d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $44 114d
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL No 98¢ $44 114d
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY No 98¢ $44 114d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $45 115d
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 96¢ $45 115d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 95¢ $45 115d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 95¢ $45 115d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 3 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 3 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 136 -0.1% -9.6% 10% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 541 history records