trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +20.5% | +9.1% | 80% | 60% | +6.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +20.5% | +9.1% | 80% | 60% | +6.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +20.5% | +9.1% | 80% | 60% | +6.6% |
| all | 5 | +20.5% | +9.1% | 80% | 60% | +6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.1% | 60% | +6.6% |
| 10% | -1.4% | 60% | -3.6% |
| 15% | -10.9% | 20% | -12.9% |
| 20% | -19.6% | 20% | -21.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 92¢ | $277 | $277 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 76¢ | 83¢ | $129 | $141 | +$12 (+9%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | $100 | $104 | +$4 (+4%) |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $44 | +$12 | +27% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 20 | $59 | −$5 | -9% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $56 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$26 | +51% |