Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc4c6…73a7
sports · 70 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,065 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,065 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,065
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses41 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$298
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
Avg bet$1,143
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$608
7 days−$3,577
14 days−$3,745
30 days−$3,934
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $5,640 −$647 -12%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 10 $209 $0 -0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 10 $7,679 +$38 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? Jun 10 $385 −$141 -37%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $6,048 −$1,139 -19%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playof Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 08 $3,453 −$1,682 -49%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 05 $29,488 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $4,234 −$200 -5%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 04 $746 +$38 +5%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 01 $2,600 −$7 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $3,429 +$1 +0%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? May 28 $688 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? May 27 $2,098 +$1 +0%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26? May 26 $97 +$1 +1%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 25 $1,430 −$71 -5%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? May 25 $182 −$17 -10%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? May 25 $1,326 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma May 24 $2,288 $0 -0%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $2,200 −$51 -2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? May 21 $4 $0 +0%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) May 19 $506 −$7 -2%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $1,020 −$15 -2%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $164 −$28 -17%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 16 $180 +$1 +0%
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? May 12 $930 −$20 -2%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Mar 29 $89 −$89 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Mar 20 $68 +$22 +33%
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Mar 20 $278 −$82 -30%
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Mar 20 $146 +$4 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 3 Winner Mar 20 $140 +$10 +8%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Mar 19 $127 +$12 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Mar 19 $118 +$2 +2%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Mar 19 $114 +$6 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Mar 19 $114 +$6 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Mar 19 $95 +$5 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 18 $94 +$6 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Mar 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Spurs vs. Clippers Mar 17 $94 +$6 +6%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 17 $91 +$9 +10%
Kings vs. Clippers Mar 15 $86 +$4 +5%
Nuggets vs. Lakers Mar 15 $76 +$4 +5%
Wizards vs. Celtics Mar 15 $80 +$4 +5%
Bulls vs. Clippers Mar 14 $79 +$1 +2%
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Mar 14 $78 +$1 +1%
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers Mar 14 $64 +$6 +10%
Pelicans vs. Rockets Mar 14 $69 +$1 +2%
Suns vs. Raptors Mar 14 $69 +$1 +1%
Knicks vs. Pacers Mar 14 $70 $0 +0%
Grizzlies vs. Pistons Mar 14 $69 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% −$47
world 20% −$625
sports 16% −$463
politics 13% +$32
economics 8% −$1,139
tech 4% −$1,682
finance 0% −$141
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 84¢ $1,511 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 82¢ $988 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 83¢ $2,495 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 94¢ $5,640 32h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $205 42h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $4 42h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL No 95¢ $5,309 46h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 94¢ $5,281 46h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $209 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 7¢ $81 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 7¢ $95 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 7¢ $222 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 6¢ $348 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL Yes 4¢ $129 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $36 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $2 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $30 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $445 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $2 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $8 3d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? SELL Yes 6¢ $47 3d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? BUY Yes 7¢ $385 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $249 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $591 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $1 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $1 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $0 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $0 3d
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 20¢ $20 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -26.9% -33.9% 12% 0% -15.6%
≤30d 25 -10.0% -18.6% 24% 0% -14.2%
≤90d 44 -8.4% -17.1% 48% 2% -14.1%
all 70 -6.7% -15.6% 59% 6% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.6% 6% -14.1%
10% -23.7% 3% -22.3%
15% -31.1% 1% -29.8%
20% -37.8% 1% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 549 history records