trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -20.7% | -28.2% | 17% | 17% | -46.4% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -16.9% | -24.8% | 28% | 24% | -25.6% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -16.9% | -24.8% | 28% | 24% | -25.6% |
| all | 29 | -16.9% | -24.8% | 28% | 24% | -25.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.8% | 24% | -25.6% |
| 10% | -32.0% | 17% | -32.7% |
| 15% | -38.6% | 14% | -39.2% |
| 20% | -44.6% | 7% | -45.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$9 | +596% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -95% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $2 | −$1 | -49% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +41% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$1 | +31% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | May 31 | $28 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | May 31 | $14 | −$2 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +22% |