Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc4ba…9c9d
sports · 239 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$193 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$191 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$273
Realized−$191
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses74 / 122
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions43
Markets (closed)196 / 239
History coverage20d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day41.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 43 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$116
7 days+$26
14 days−$188
30 days−$191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $37 $38 +$1 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $29 $27 −$1 (-5%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-4%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 26¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+2%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 30¢ 30¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+2%)
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 60¢ 60¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 40¢ 40¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 40¢ 40¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? No 25¢ 24¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Under 25¢ 24¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No 25¢ 24¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 44¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-13%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 52¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 30¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? No 30¢ 30¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 22¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-10%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Yes 40¢ 42¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? No 24¢ 22¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 25¢ 22¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $96 +$101 +105%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $9 +$10 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $54 −$53 -98%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 +$6 +98%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +146%
Spread: COD Meknès (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $101 +$65 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $47 +$19 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $15 +$7 +48%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$3 +97%
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -18%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $113 −$18 -16%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 −$4 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $5 −$4 -98%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 +$2 +146%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 +$2 +65%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +32%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $11 −$7 -65%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$3 +65%
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +32%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 −$4 -97%
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$1 +23%
Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? Jun 09 $8 $0 +6%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 +$1 +65%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +97%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 +$1 +65%
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 $0 -2%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $5 −$4 -99%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 −$4 -98%
Armenia vs. Moldova: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $12 +$6 +48%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$126
other 33% −$57
crypto 0% −$7
world 0% +$1
economics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 20m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 20m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 20m
Spread: Norway (-1.5) BUY Iraq 40¢ $2 20m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 25¢ $2 22m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 23m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 23m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $2 23m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 25¢ $2 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 25¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 25¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 2h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $2 2h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $2 2h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 60¢ $2 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 25¢ $2 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $2 3h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 25¢ $2 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 25¢ $2 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 25¢ $2 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 4h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 25¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -19.4% -27.0% 39% 38% -7.3%
≤30d 196 -16.6% -24.5% 38% 37% -18.4%
≤90d 196 -16.6% -24.5% 38% 37% -18.4%
all 196 -16.6% -24.5% 38% 37% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.5% 37% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.7% 37% -26.2%
15% -38.3% 28% -33.3%
20% -44.4% 27% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $272.77 · official $272.77 (match) · 923 history records