Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T12:24:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C4 0xc4ac…8c56 crypto 3 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$4 (-0%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$951per market
Trades / day26.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$4
world 14% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 3 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 3 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
all 3 -0.4% -9.9% 0% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.4%
15% ← realistic here -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
9.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$3 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage2d
Avg bet$951
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? Jun 18 $2,198 −$4 -0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Jun 18 $405 −$4 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $251 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 59 history records