Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc4a6…5d3f
crypto · 718 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$167 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses419 / 299
Open positions0
Markets (closed)718 / 718
History coverage57d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day26.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 718 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$11
14 days−$113
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$6 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 06 $9 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$33 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 05 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 05 $7 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +7.5% -2.7% 53% 53% -3.7%
≤30d 378 +1.9% -7.8% 63% 56% -10.3%
≤90d 718 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 53% -10.7%
all 718 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 53% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 53% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 42% -19.3%
15% -25.4% 31% -27.1%
20% -32.7% 22% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2130 history records