trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 50% | 0% | -58.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 60% | 20% | -55.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +20.1% | +8.6% | 60% | 40% | -19.3% |
| all | 10 | +20.1% | +8.6% | 60% | 40% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.6% | 40% | -19.3% |
| 10% | -1.8% | 30% | -27.0% |
| 15% | -11.3% | 20% | -34.0% |
| 20% | -20.0% | 20% | -40.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 36¢ | 21¢ | $181 | $105 | −$76 (-42%) |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 32¢ | 37¢ | $83 | $95 | +$12 (+14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 21 | $61 | +$3 | +5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 21 | $18 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | Jun 21 | $171 | −$170 | -99% |
| Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $61 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | Jun 01 | $16 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.8%? | May 19 | $5 | +$11 | +223% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $78 | −$74 | -95% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | Apr 16 | $81 | +$179 | +223% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Apr 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Apr 14 | $4 | +$1 | +31% |