Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:10:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc49b…0e51
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day21.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-28.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -20.6% -28.2% 55% 55% -24.9%
≤30d 11 -20.6% -28.2% 55% 55% -24.9%
≤90d 11 -20.6% -28.2% 55% 55% -24.9%
all 11 -20.6% -28.2% 55% 55% -24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.2% 55% -24.9%
10% ← realistic here -35.1% 36% -32.1%
15% -41.3% 9% -38.6%
20% -47.1% 9% -44.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 21 history records