Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:42:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc492…0445
crypto · 1309 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,063 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,063 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$1,063
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1170 / 191
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1361 / 1309
History coverage12d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day188.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 1361 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$754
7 days−$871
14 days−$1,063
30 days−$1,063
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $74 $75 +$1 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 31? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 31? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$71
other 25% −$489
weather 13% +$73
sports 2% −$80
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $303 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $375 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $110 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $300 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $145 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $215 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $91 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $52 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $647 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $219 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $223 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $101 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 816 -8.0% -16.8% 90% 2% -10.3%
≤30d 1361 -4.7% -13.8% 86% 15% -10.4%
≤90d 1361 -4.7% -13.8% 86% 15% -10.4%
all 1361 -4.7% -13.8% 86% 15% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover188.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 15% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 10% -19.0%
15% -29.5% 6% -26.8%
20% -36.5% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.18 · official $75.18 (match) · 3500 history records