Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:12:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc47d…2705
crypto · 224 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$167 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses192 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)224 / 224
History coverage10d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$55
7 days−$142
14 days−$167
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$14 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $141 −$102 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $134 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$20 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $134 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $140 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $126 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$14 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $138 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$34 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$17 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $137 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$17 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$16 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$21 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$20 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $89 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $99 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$6 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $22 −$19 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $38 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $38 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $36 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $34 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -0.6% -10.1% 83% 20% -12.1%
≤30d 224 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 14% -10.7%
≤90d 224 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 14% -10.7%
all 224 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 14% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 14% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 4% -19.3%
15% -26.7% 2% -27.1%
20% -33.9% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 742 history records