trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +37.4% | +24.4% | 61% | 57% | +30.4% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +37.4% | +24.4% | 61% | 57% | +30.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +37.4% | +24.4% | 61% | 57% | +30.4% |
| all | 34 | +31.6% | +19.0% | 62% | 59% | +22.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.0% | 59% | +22.3% |
| 10% | +7.6% | 53% | +10.6% |
| 15% | -2.8% | 50% | -0.1% |
| 20% | -12.3% | 47% | -9.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $321 | $324 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | No | 43¢ | 40¢ | $26 | $24 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Under | 50¢ | 48¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Norway | 22¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $12 | +$22 | +180% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $12 | +$17 | +140% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $18 | +$20 | +108% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $35 | +$5 | +13% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $34 | +$8 | +23% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $8 | +$25 | +307% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $18 | +$20 | +112% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $9 | +$11 | +124% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $8 | +$9 | +109% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | +$19 | +365% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $9 | +$12 | +134% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $11 | +$7 | +62% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $12 | +$9 | +76% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Austria leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Argentina leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $6 | $0 | +8% |
| Algeria leading at halftime? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14? | Sep 27 | $27 | +$21 | +79% |
| Vikings vs. Bears | Sep 10 | $58 | +$51 | +89% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25? | Sep 07 | $26 | +$26 | +100% |
| UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev | Aug 20 | $22 | +$10 | +47% |
| Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament? | Aug 03 | $8 | +$13 | +156% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Jul 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Red Sox | Jul 26 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25? | Jul 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? | Jul 23 | $16 | +$3 | +19% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 21? | Jul 22 | $8 | +$10 | +122% |