Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:11:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc468…0d1b
crypto · 1325 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$116 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$117 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$117
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses613 / 720
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1333 / 1325
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day323.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 1333 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$117
14 days−$117
30 days−$117
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 63¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 48¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 53¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 13¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1333 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 41% -12.2%
≤30d 1333 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 41% -12.2%
≤90d 1333 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 41% -12.2%
all 1333 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 41% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover323.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 41% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 38% -20.6%
15% -29.1% 34% -28.3%
20% -36.1% 30% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.10 · official $13.28 (match) · 3500 history records