trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -26.1% | -33.1% | 17% | 0% | -20.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -10.2% | -18.8% | 36% | 18% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 61% | 35% | -8.2% |
| all | 23 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 61% | 35% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 35% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -17.3% | 17% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -32.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $201 | +$12 | +6% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $136 | −$19 | -14% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 20 | $1,404 | −$113 | -8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? | Jun 19 | $144 | −$6 | -4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19? | Jun 19 | $69 | −$67 | -96% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $225 | −$81 | -36% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 07 | $400 | +$32 | +8% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | May 28 | $960 | +$121 | +13% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | May 24 | $513 | +$156 | +30% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | May 23 | $279 | −$17 | -6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $1,043 | −$13 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 14 | $128 | +$16 | +13% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 13 | $579 | +$14 | +2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 13 | $200 | −$5 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | May 11 | $382 | +$12 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 09 | $229 | −$8 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 26 | $75 | +$2 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Apr 26 | $70 | +$3 | +4% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | Apr 24 | $103 | +$25 | +24% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Apr 24 | $69 | +$20 | +28% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Apr 19 | $30 | +$9 | +28% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 19 | $48 | +$10 | +20% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 19 | $28 | +$5 | +17% |