Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:31:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc45b…f362
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses28 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)44 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day66.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 5 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$22 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$19 -73%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$5 +343%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 ( Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$36
other 3% $0
finance 2% +$7
sports 2% +$5
tech 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 37¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $4 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $41 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +12.9% +2.2% 64% 55% -12.6%
≤30d 44 +12.9% +2.2% 64% 55% -12.6%
≤90d 44 +12.9% +2.2% 64% 55% -12.6%
all 44 +12.9% +2.2% 64% 55% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.2% 55% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -7.6% 41% -21.0%
15% -16.5% 41% -28.6%
20% -24.7% 32% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.57 · official $26.57 · 135 history records