Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc452…c333
sports · 13 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
−$876 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$876 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$876
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses2 / 11
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage227d
Avg bet$189
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Gen.G 9¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) KT Rolster 9¢ 0¢ $704 $0 −$704 (-100%)
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan China 28¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B JD Gaming 5¢ 0¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) G2 Esports 18¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 3¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Top Esports 2¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster 5¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) CTBC Flying Oyster 13¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $41 −$28 -70%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 +$50 +165%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $32 −$31 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Mar 17 $333 −$333 -100%
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan Jan 24 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Nov 11 $20 +$33 +163%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $1,357 −$294 -22%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) Nov 02 $31 −$31 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 01 $456 −$90 -20%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) Oct 30 $59 −$59 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) Oct 29 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner Oct 29 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner Oct 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$898
other 3% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $12 33m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $15 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $25 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $81 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $31 18h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 0¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 4¢ $20 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 4¢ $10 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 4¢ $1 4d
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B BUY JD Gaming 1¢ $61 87d
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B BUY JD Gaming 5¢ $50 87d
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B BUY JD Gaming 11¢ $222 87d
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan BUY China 28¢ $42 139d
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan BUY China 28¢ $10 139d
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan BUY China 28¢ $0 139d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 1¢ $50 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $114 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $48 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $6 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $143 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $0 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $20 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $150 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL KT Rolster 37¢ $582 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 23¢ $1,150 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 21¢ $52 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 1¢ $10 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 21¢ $35 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 21¢ $70 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 19¢ $10 215d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-57.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -1.6% -10.9% 33% 33% -17.5%
≤30d 3 -1.6% -10.9% 33% 33% -17.5%
≤90d 4 -26.2% -33.2% 25% 25% -80.6%
all 13 -52.6% -57.1% 15% 15% -64.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -57.1% 15% -64.9%
10% -61.2% 15% -68.2%
15% -64.9% 15% -71.3%
20% -68.4% 15% -74.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 43 history records