trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 30% | 30% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 31 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 32% | 32% | -1.2% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 32% | 32% | -1.2% |
| all | 31 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 32% | 32% | -1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.3% | 32% | -1.2% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 32% | -10.7% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 32% | -19.3% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 29% | -27.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $67 | +$228 | +340% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $103 | +$125 | +121% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $134 | +$200 | +149% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 23 | $133 | −$133 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $122 | −$122 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 22 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia? | Jun 22 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 22 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 22 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 22 | $123 | −$123 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Croatia? | Jun 22 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 22 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 22 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 22 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $19 | +$161 | +864% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $188 | +$87 | +46% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $102 | +$68 | +67% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$32 | +63% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $102 | +$62 | +60% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $36 | −$31 | -84% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $103 | +$110 | +107% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $123 | +$169 | +137% |