Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc449…7cf3
crypto · 782 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,161 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,161 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses294 / 488
Open positions0
Markets (closed)782 / 782
History coverage12d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day275.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$362
7 days−$2,935
14 days−$5,161
30 days−$5,161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$16 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$32 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$19 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$45 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$52 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$31 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$42 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$29 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$18 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$26 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$56 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$30 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$23 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$43 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$30 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$19 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$24 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$57 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$33 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$36 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$40 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$22 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$76 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$47 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$23 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5,143
other 0% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $20 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $26 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $22 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $30 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -16.3% -24.3% 35% 29% -25.8%
≤30d 782 -10.7% -19.2% 38% 32% -23.4%
≤90d 782 -10.7% -19.2% 38% 32% -23.4%
all 782 -10.7% -19.2% 38% 32% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 32% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 28% -30.7%
15% -34.0% 24% -37.4%
20% -40.5% 19% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records