trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +113.9% | +93.6% | 100% | 100% | +93.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +103.6% | +84.2% | 100% | 100% | +87.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +53.7% | +39.1% | 88% | 62% | +64.1% |
| all | 31 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 58% | 39% | -1.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 39% | -1.9% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 39% | -11.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 39% | -19.8% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 39% | -27.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 52¢ | 50¢ | $371 | $361 | −$11 (-3%) |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $92 | $92 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 19 | $176 | +$201 | +114% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 08 | $91 | +$84 | +93% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 18 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Apr 23 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Apr 23 | $336 | +$427 | +127% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Apr 13 | $184 | +$172 | +93% |
| Kings vs. Nets | Apr 05 | $92 | +$92 | +100% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 | Mar 08 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. 76ers | Feb 24 | $198 | −$198 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 | Feb 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | Feb 19 | $101 | +$89 | +89% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5 | Feb 02 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | Jan 18 | $89 | −$89 | -100% |
| Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5 | Jan 06 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Jan 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5 | Dec 26 | $108 | −$108 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Dec 20 | $220 | −$220 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 46.5 | Dec 16 | $111 | +$109 | +98% |
| Warriors vs. Bulls | Dec 08 | $357 | −$357 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 | Dec 07 | $180 | +$180 | +100% |
| Stars vs. Devils | Dec 05 | $90 | +$90 | +100% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5 | Nov 26 | $240 | +$240 | +100% |
| Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5 | Nov 24 | $107 | +$95 | +89% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 20 | Nov 19 | $150 | +$1 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Bucks | Nov 17 | $50 | +$45 | +89% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 | Nov 15 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Jaguars vs. Texans | Nov 10 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025 | Nov 08 | $49 | +$1 | +1% |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Nov 07 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |