Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T13:10:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C4 0xc439…badb crypto 1561 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (154 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate23%374W / 1231L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day154.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (154 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1605 -2.7% -11.9% 23% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 1605 -2.7% -11.9% 23% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 1605 -2.7% -11.9% 23% 0% -10.7%
all 1605 -2.7% -11.9% 23% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover154.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 0% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 0% -19.2%
15% -28.0% 0% -27.0%
20% -35.1% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
0.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.14 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses374 / 1231
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1605 / 1561
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day154.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1605 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7AM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $4.00 · 3500 history records