Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:56:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc436…47a2
politics · 3 markets active 4d ago
0.5score
+$138,544 +49%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,024 · open +$135,520
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$400,621
Realized+$3,024
Unrealized+$135,520
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage110d
Avg bet$94,762
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 64¢ 96¢ $213,507 $319,101 +$105,594 (+49%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 61¢ 97¢ $51,594 $81,520 +$29,926 (+58%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? Feb 24 $17,990 +$3,024 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 94% +$135,520
other 6% +$3,024
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 66¢ $429 3d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 66¢ $16,500 3d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 66¢ $13,200 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $20,100 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 68¢ $75 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 68¢ $0 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 68¢ $11 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 68¢ $124 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 4d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 68¢ $15,000 4d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY No 67¢ $17,270 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $761 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $20 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $17 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $145 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $13 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $7 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $5 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $46 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $43 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $14 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $30 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 5d
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 1 +16.8% +5.7% 100% 100% +5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.7% 100% +5.7%
10% ← realistic here -4.4% 0% -4.4%
15% -13.7% 0% -13.7%
20% -22.1% 0% -22.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $400,621.48 · official $400,787.51 (match) · 437 history records