Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc427…efdf
crypto · 588 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,047 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,047 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,047
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses283 / 304
Open positions0
Markets (closed)587 / 588
History coverage68d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day28.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 587 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$436
14 days−$833
30 days−$966
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$35 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $57 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$23 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $63 −$39 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$31 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$11 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$14 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $23 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$14 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$8 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$5 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $24 +$21 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,047
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 4¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $16 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -5.5% -14.5% 42% 37% -24.4%
≤30d 360 -17.8% -25.7% 39% 31% -29.6%
≤90d 587 -12.6% -21.0% 48% 33% -25.5%
all 587 -12.6% -21.0% 48% 33% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 33% -25.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 23% -32.6%
15% -35.4% 15% -39.1%
20% -41.8% 11% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $10.00 · 2378 history records