trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 45% | 34% | -25.8% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 45% | 34% | -25.8% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 45% | 34% | -25.8% |
| all | 34 | -38.4% | -44.3% | 41% | 32% | -26.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.3% | 32% | -26.9% |
| 10% | -49.6% | 29% | -33.9% |
| 15% | -54.5% | 21% | -40.3% |
| 20% | -58.9% | 6% | -46.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 92¢ | 92¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 50¢ | 48¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $13 | $11 | −$2 (-13%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 | Over | 72¢ | 72¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $9 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-11%) |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 | Under | 62¢ | 62¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany leading at halftime? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $150 | +$10 | +7% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Türkiye leading at halftime? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $30 | +$14 | +46% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +42% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5 | Jun 09 | $20 | −$18 | -90% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $15 | −$13 | -84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Feb 27 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Feb 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Jan 13 | $6 | −$2 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Jan 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | Jan 13 | $7 | +$3 | +48% |