trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 34 | +69.7% | +53.5% | 53% | 53% | +23.5% |
| ≤30d | 34 | +69.7% | +53.5% | 53% | 53% | +23.5% |
| ≤90d | 34 | +69.7% | +53.5% | 53% | 53% | +23.5% |
| all | 34 | +69.7% | +53.5% | 53% | 53% | +23.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +53.5% | 53% | +23.5% |
| 10% | +38.8% | 53% | +11.7% |
| 15% | +25.4% | 47% | +0.9% |
| 20% | +13.1% | 41% | -9.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $100 | $109 | +$9 (+9%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $57 | $56 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 52¢ | 52¢ | $52 | $52 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Austria | 48¢ | 46¢ | $48 | $46 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 44¢ | 42¢ | $44 | $42 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $24 | $24 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $18 | $20 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 75¢ | 76¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $65 | +$35 | +55% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | +$39 | +76% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $80 | +$22 | +27% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $41 | +$51 | +126% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $61 | +$38 | +62% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $40 | +$60 | +152% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$2 | -9% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$70 | +238% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $68 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $23 | +$77 | +344% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $67 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $8 | +$91 | +1164% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $102 | −$70 | -69% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $101 | −$55 | -54% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $63 | −$62 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$25 | +97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$35 | +226% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $26 | +$8 | +29% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $38 | +$162 | +428% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $35 | +$15 | +44% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $16 | +$23 | +140% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $60 | −$59 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$23 | -91% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $27 | −$26 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $38 | +$62 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +42% |