Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:39:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3ed…b06a
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses8 / 13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)21 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 29¢ 24¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$31 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$11 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$12 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $23 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $30 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $43 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $18 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $46 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $31 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $19 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +21.4% +9.8% 38% 38% -3.7%
≤30d 21 +21.4% +9.8% 38% 38% -3.7%
≤90d 21 +21.4% +9.8% 38% 38% -3.7%
all 21 +21.4% +9.8% 38% 38% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.8% 38% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -0.7% 38% -13.0%
15% -10.3% 38% -21.4%
20% -19.1% 33% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.83 · official $14.93 · 55 history records