Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3e7…5209
sports · 137 markets active 3h ago
2.0score
+$16 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized+$19
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses58 / 66
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions13
Markets (closed)124 / 137
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day39.6
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 13 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 37¢ 38¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 67¢ 60¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 56¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 64¢ 61¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 48¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 52¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 45¢ 48¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 38¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 26¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $3 +$2 +64%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $2 +$3 +167%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$2 +80%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$2 +51%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3 $0 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $2 +$4 +209%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $8 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$8 +219%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$5 +77%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$3 +160%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $4 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +72%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $3 +$2 +61%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $3 +$2 +95%
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $2 +$3 +129%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$3 +129%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ursa (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $5 +$5 +97%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs eternal premium (+1.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$16
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 2h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) SELL MOUZ 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European SELL Young Ninjas 100¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL ex-RUBY 100¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 64¢ $3 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $5 8h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 26¢ $1 9h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) BUY INOX Division 59¢ $3 11h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs SELL Marsborne 100¢ $5 11h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 68¢ $4 12h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $2 12h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 52¢ $3 13h
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof BUY Club 333 39¢ $2 13h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $3 14h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $3 14h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 56¢ $3 14h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 48¢ $3 14h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 42¢ $2 14h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $2 14h
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) BUY GenOne 67¢ $4 16h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) SELL Spirit 100¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $5 17h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 45¢ $3 18h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) SELL HEROIC Academy 99¢ $5 19h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European BUY Young Ninjas 79¢ $4 20h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL G2 100¢ $5 21h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) BUY HEROIC Academy 53¢ $3 21h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Martin Landaluce 64¢ $3 22h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 53¢ $3 22h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 78¢ $4 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -9.0% -17.6% 47% 45% -6.6%
≤30d 124 -9.0% -17.6% 47% 45% -6.6%
≤90d 124 -9.0% -17.6% 47% 45% -6.6%
all 124 -9.0% -17.6% 47% 45% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 45% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 40% -15.5%
15% -32.7% 36% -23.7%
20% -39.3% 32% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.15 · official $38.16 (match) · 332 history records