Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3e5…519d
sports · 589 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,084 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,099 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,311
Realized−$3,099
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses522 / 82
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$1,792
Open positions3
Markets (closed)604 / 589
History coverage31d
Avg bet$984
Trades / day112.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 604 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,147
7 days−$5,195
14 days−$5,982
30 days−$5,527
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Estar Backs 89¢ 92¢ $820 $848 +$28 (+3%)
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner Estar Backs 93¢ 92¢ $435 $426 −$9 (-2%)
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio - Game 1 Winner TeamDk 95¢ 86¢ $40 $36 −$4 (-9%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 77¢ 0¢ $659 $0 −$659 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffs BESTIA 89¢ 0¢ $997 $0 −$997 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs MONEY CREW (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffs MONEY CREW 92¢ 0¢ $283 $0 −$283 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 79¢ 0¢ $1,067 $0 −$1,067 (-100%)
Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner MODUS 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner GamerLegion 67¢ 0¢ $708 $0 −$708 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 93¢ 0¢ $1,346 $0 −$1,346 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs fnatic 86¢ 0¢ $911 $0 −$911 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs CHICANERY (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage Outfit 49 74¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 78¢ 0¢ $1,110 $0 −$1,110 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 83¢ 0¢ $1,028 $0 −$1,028 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs Atreides 95¢ 0¢ $439 $0 −$439 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner Amaru Gaming 85¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs against All authority - Map 1 Winner HyperSpirit 98¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Team Nemesis 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner RED Canids 73¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 88¢ 0¢ $1,067 $0 −$1,067 (-100%)
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 1 Winner Poor Rangers 76¢ 0¢ $707 $0 −$707 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner PlayTime 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs FarmVille 88¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner HyperSpirit 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Aurora 88¢ 0¢ $1,652 $0 −$1,652 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs MONEY CREW (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leag Jun 12 $283 −$509 -180%
Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs CHICANERY (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Serie Jun 12 $439 −$439 -100%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs against All authority - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $230 −$416 -181%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$587 -131219%
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Nort Jun 12 $165 −$289 -175%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$40 -17999%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $939 −$939 -100%
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Jun 12 $0 −$781 -182171%
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $892 −$1,064 -119%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Jun 12 $1,070 −$1,070 -100%
Counter-Strike: Brute vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,937 −$1,937 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Clos Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Boring Players (BO3) - ESL Challenger Lea Jun 12 $194 −$194 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,288 −$1,288 -100%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced E Jun 12 $74 −$442 -601%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $1,059 +$63 +6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,193 +$41 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,015 +$89 +9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,043 +$30 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $907 +$165 +18%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO1) - The International Europe Open Qu Jun 12 $450 +$11 +2%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $240 +$5 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $746 +$141 +19%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $715 +$18 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,829 −$489 -27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $576 +$35 +6%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $551 +$26 +5%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $577 +$34 +6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,096 +$33 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,061 +$34 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,034 +$14 +1%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $222 +$10 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $112 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $872 +$33 +4%
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $130 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $952 +$25 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $952 +$12 +1%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $1,406 +$557 +40%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $1,422 +$657 +46%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $89 −$12 -13%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $966 +$97 +10%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $2,537 +$233 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,431 +$107 +7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $562 +$17 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,074 +$170 +16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,081 +$164 +15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,061 +$10 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$7,194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 95¢ $18 19m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 95¢ $19 20m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 95¢ $36 20m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 95¢ $285 20m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 95¢ $41 20m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 93¢ $28 21m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 92¢ $53 22m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 92¢ $28 23m
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio - Game 1 Winner BUY TeamDk 95¢ $40 24m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Estar Backs 89¢ $109 26m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 90¢ $44 38m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 90¢ $65 38m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 90¢ $129 38m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 90¢ $11 38m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 90¢ $11 38m
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 91¢ $269 40m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL OLDBOYS- 100¢ $1,122 1h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 94¢ $1,059 1h
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South BUY Estar Backs 80¢ $111 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $1,234 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 97¢ $731 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 97¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 97¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 97¢ $136 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 93¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 93¢ $66 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 93¢ $12 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 93¢ $26 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 93¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $1,104 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -9.8% -18.4% 79% 21% -11.5%
≤30d 577 +1.3% -8.4% 86% 23% -9.9%
≤90d 604 +2.1% -7.6% 86% 23% -9.5%
all 604 +2.1% -7.6% 86% 23% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 23% -9.5%
10% -16.4% 8% -18.2%
15% ← realistic here -24.5% 3% -26.1%
20% -31.9% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,310.57 · official $1,310.57 (match) · 3500 history records