Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:54:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3da…acfc
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$43 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses119 / 186
Open positions0
Markets (closed)305 / 305
History coverage10d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 305 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$65
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$14 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$20 +625%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$8 +252%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$6 +312%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 295 +7.8% -2.5% 40% 39% -4.1%
≤30d 305 +5.3% -4.7% 39% 38% -6.0%
≤90d 305 +5.3% -4.7% 39% 38% -6.0%
all 305 +5.3% -4.7% 39% 38% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.7% 38% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.8% 27% -15.0%
15% -22.1% 19% -23.2%
20% -29.8% 16% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 656 history records