Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:24:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3d9…8354
crypto · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses17 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day282.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-34.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -27.6% -34.5% 44% 33% -26.7%
≤30d 39 -27.6% -34.5% 44% 33% -26.7%
≤90d 39 -27.6% -34.5% 44% 33% -26.7%
all 39 -27.6% -34.5% 44% 33% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover282.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.5% 33% -26.7%
10% ← realistic here -40.8% 18% -33.7%
15% -46.5% 15% -40.1%
20% -51.8% 10% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 307 history records