Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3d8…17a6
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$2 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 3 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% +$1
tech 7% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $8 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 13h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 50% +6.8%
≤30d 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 50% +6.8%
≤90d 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 50% +6.8%
all 2 +42.4% +28.8% 100% 50% +6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +28.8% 50% +6.8%
10% +16.5% 50% -3.4%
15% +5.3% 50% -12.7%
20% -5.1% 50% -21.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.17 · official $17.18 (match) · 7 history records