Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3cd…816c
other · 275 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26,478 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$622 · open −$10,989
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28,237
Realized−$622
Unrealized−$10,989
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses86 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$88
Open positions500
Markets (closed)120 / 275
History coverage2d
Avg bet$343
Trades / day1922.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit42%
Chart Positions 500 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$622
7 days−$622
14 days−$622
30 days−$622
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 87¢ 84¢ $2,864 $2,770 −$94 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 80¢ 81¢ $2,582 $2,631 +$48 (+2%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 69¢ 54¢ $2,104 $1,629 −$475 (-23%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $545 $543 −$2 (-0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $435 $438 +$3 (+1%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 87¢ 80¢ $435 $403 −$32 (-7%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 80¢ 80¢ $400 $400 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? No 99¢ 99¢ $395 $395 +$0 (+0%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 87¢ 76¢ $431 $379 −$52 (-12%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 96¢ $383 $378 −$5 (-1%)
Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $344 $345 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $340 $338 −$2 (-1%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 62¢ $100 $312 +$212 (+212%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 81¢ 81¢ $311 $311 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $306 $309 +$3 (+1%)
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $298 $298 +$0 (+0%)
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $298 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $297 +$0 (+0%)
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $297 $297 +$0 (+0%)
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $296 $295 −$0 (-0%)
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $294 $294 +$0 (+0%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No 98¢ 98¢ $294 $294 −$0 (-0%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 97¢ 97¢ $291 $291 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $290 $291 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No 96¢ 96¢ $289 $289 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $676 $0 +0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $229 +$121 +53%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $496 $0 +0%
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $1,190 +$2 +0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $899 +$8 +1%
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $189 +$417 +221%
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $192 +$171 +89%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $373 +$2 +0%
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $2 +$4 +195%
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $36 +$2 +6%
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $122 +$1 +1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $42 +$3 +7%
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $1 +$18 +2188%
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $488 +$25 +5%
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $17 +$165 +969%
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $228 +$3 +1%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $580 −$1 -0%
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $590 +$1 +0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $296 +$1 +0%
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $61 +$392 +640%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Jun 12 $204 +$156 +76%
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $225 −$208 -92%
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $146 +$11 +7%
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $140 $0 +0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $290 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Jun 12 $72 $0 -0%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $1,369 +$3 +0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Jun 12 $48 +$4 +8%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $160 $0 +0%
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $96 $0 -0%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $152 −$2 -1%
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $366 −$284 -78%
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $785 −$653 -83%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $288 −$1 -0%
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $90 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 12 $388 $0 -0%
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $61 +$3 +5%
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,273 −$973 -76%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $772 −$445 -58%
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $297 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $194 $0 +0%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,070 +$4 +0%
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $568 −$481 -85%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $295 +$294 +100%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $405 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% −$10,793
world 19% −$451
politics 10% +$80
sports 9% −$446
tech 1% +$12
crypto 1% +$1
culture 1% −$11
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA Wor SELL No 96¢ $46 0m
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 80¢ $62 0m
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $93 1m
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? BUY Yes 81¢ $13 1m
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? BUY Yes 81¢ $43 1m
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 65¢ $53 1m
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? BUY Yes 81¢ $43 1m
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1m
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? BUY Yes 81¢ $144 1m
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 80¢ $11 2m
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 65¢ $49 3m
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 65¢ $5 3m
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 65¢ $23 3m
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3m
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 4m
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 96¢ $42 7m
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $98 8m
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 8m
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $298 9m
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 9m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 81¢ $95 9m
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 99¢ $180 9m
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $298 9m
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $17 10m
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 10m
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 23¢ $11 11m
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 99¢ $5 12m
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 12m
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $54 12m
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $58 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 +35.6% +22.7% 72% 18% -11.0%
≤30d 120 +35.6% +22.7% 72% 18% -11.0%
≤90d 120 +35.6% +22.7% 72% 18% -11.0%
all 120 +35.6% +22.7% 72% 18% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1922.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +22.7% 18% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here +11.0% 13% -19.5%
15% +0.3% 12% -27.3%
20% -9.6% 11% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28,236.79 · official $28,237.25 (match) · 3500 history records