Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3c9…c01a
other · 44 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses10 / 34
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage610d
Avg bet$113
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $24 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $10 +$8 +83%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $25 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 04 $12 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $12 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? Jun 02 $11 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in May? Jun 02 $39 $0 +1%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 31 $10 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $12 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $65 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 24 $11 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 23 $13 $0 -0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 18 $59 $0 -0%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 18 $9 +$6 +62%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $58 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? May 11 $55 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $53 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 06 $54 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 30 $52 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Apr 27 $56 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 21 $54 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $57 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $57 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $55 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $52 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $56 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? Mar 27 $26 $0 +0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 26 $6 $0 +0%
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? Mar 26 $13 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? Mar 05 $24 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? Feb 13 $24 $0 +0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 13 $49 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 20 $10 $0 -4%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 16 $1 $0 -13%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 05 $14 −$1 -4%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $7 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 06 $11 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 11 $135 −$1 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $1,442 −$5 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 28 $1,178 −$12 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 27 $1,018 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 82% −$20
other 12% −$1
crypto 3% +$1
culture 1% $0
tech 1% $0
sports 1% +$13
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $9 1h
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 4h
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 41h
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 44h
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 2d
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 2d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $13 3d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 3d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 54¢ $10 3d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 8d
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 8d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $12 9d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $12 9d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $10 10d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 10d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 12d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 12d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 13d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 13d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May? BUY No 100¢ $11 17d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $11 19d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 19d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $13 20d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 20d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 21d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 21d
Will Solana dip to $50 in May? BUY No 99¢ $39 24d
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +20.5% +9.1% 25% 25% +1.0%
≤30d 16 +9.0% -1.4% 25% 12% -5.8%
≤90d 31 +4.6% -5.3% 23% 6% -8.4%
all 44 +2.7% -7.0% 23% 5% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 5% -9.6%
10% -15.9% 5% -18.3%
15% -24.1% 5% -26.2%
20% -31.5% 5% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 314 history records