Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3b8…b4d8
sports · 531 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17,847 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,013 · open −$1,834
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,176
Realized−$16,013
Unrealized−$1,834
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses275 / 253
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$2,703
Open positions3
Markets (closed)528 / 531
History coverage215d
Avg bet$1,167
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 528 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,641
7 days+$7,641
14 days+$7,641
30 days+$7,641
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 56¢ 88¢ $2,000 $3,161 +$1,161 (+58%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 73¢ 88¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+20%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 52¢ 0¢ $3,000 $3 −$2,997 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 49¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Top Esports 61¢ 0¢ $19,658 $0 −$19,658 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 45¢ 0¢ $1,083 $0 −$1,083 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Team WE 51¢ 0¢ $4,485 $0 −$4,485 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Team WE 29¢ 0¢ $4,882 $0 −$4,882 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Weibo Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $2,008 $0 −$2,008 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Shifters 49¢ 0¢ $7,338 $0 −$7,338 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 64¢ 0¢ $2,965 $0 −$2,965 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 49¢ 0¢ $9,745 $0 −$9,745 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner Fnatic 58¢ 0¢ $1,975 $0 −$1,975 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $2,097 $0 −$2,097 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,514 +$2,075 +82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3,025 +$1,110 +37%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,984 +$4,455 +89%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 24 $9,896 −$9,745 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu Apr 14 $19,892 −$19,658 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Ph Apr 14 $4,989 −$4,882 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Apr 14 $4,552 −$4,485 -98%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Apr 13 $7,452 −$7,338 -98%
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 13 $2,998 −$2,965 -99%
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 13 $1,101 −$1,083 -98%
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 13 $2,000 −$1,975 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Apr 13 $1,000 +$824 +82%
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $898 +$1,379 +154%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) Apr 12 $2,015 +$1,272 +63%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 12 $1,328 −$905 -68%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $1,234 −$1,103 -89%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $1,999 +$5,235 +262%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $2,134 −$2,097 -98%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $1,980 −$1,861 -94%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $2,038 −$2,008 -98%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $300 −$295 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $500 −$500 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 12 $4,144 −$4,144 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 12 $2,143 +$2,196 +102%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $4,000 +$6,070 +152%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $4,292 −$4,212 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $2,046 −$1,885 -92%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $3,996 +$2,217 +56%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Apr 11 $3,035 −$1,290 -42%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 11 $2,000 +$1,451 +72%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Apr 11 $1,991 +$2,107 +106%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Apr 10 $1,000 +$643 +64%
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 10 $500 +$698 +140%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Apr 10 $500 −$465 -93%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Apr 10 $2,000 +$1,578 +79%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 09 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Apr 09 $43 −$43 -100%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 09 $155 −$155 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game Apr 09 $350 −$350 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Apr 09 $352 −$352 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winne Apr 09 $500 −$500 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 09 $480 −$480 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Apr 09 $2,000 −$1,992 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner Apr 09 $1,350 −$1,307 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$17,529
other 0% −$334
crypto 0% +$14
politics 0% $0
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $2,026 54m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $4,589 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 54¢ $2,514 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $3,043 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $4,135 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $3,025 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $9,439 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $4,984 4h
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY BNK FEARX 34¢ $1,902 49d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY BNK FEARX 55¢ $7,994 49d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu BUY Top Esports 62¢ $5,595 59d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu BUY Top Esports 61¢ $1,400 59d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu BUY Top Esports 61¢ $2,000 59d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu BUY Top Esports 61¢ $1,000 59d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu BUY Top Esports 60¢ $9,897 59d
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Ph BUY Team WE 29¢ $4,989 59d
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 51¢ $4,552 59d
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) BUY Shifters 53¢ $2,000 59d
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) BUY Shifters 48¢ $5,452 59d
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Fnatic 64¢ $2,998 59d
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season BUY Fnatic 45¢ $1,101 59d
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Fnatic 58¢ $2,000 59d
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Gentle Mates 100¢ $1,824 59d
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Gentle Mates 54¢ $1,000 60d
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner SELL LOUD 100¢ $2,276 60d
LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 39¢ $898 60d
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $3,288 60d
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 61¢ $2,015 60d
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $216 60d
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season BUY Team Vitality 93¢ $201 60d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +69.5% +53.4% 100% 100% +56.2%
≤30d 3 +69.5% +53.4% 100% 100% +56.2%
≤90d 201 -17.4% -25.3% 43% 42% -28.2%
all 528 -1.7% -11.1% 52% 51% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 51% -11.6%
10% -19.6% 48% -20.1%
15% -27.3% 44% -27.8%
20% -34.5% 38% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,175.88 · official $3,175.88 (match) · 1233 history records