Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3ab…1cf1
other · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$87 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses28 / 131
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)159 / 160
History coverage95d
Avg bet$145
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 1 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$13
14 days−$23
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $57 $57 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $52 $0 -1%
Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 $0 -1%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $155 $0 -0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $167 −$1 -0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun Jun 11 $263 −$2 -1%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $46 −$1 -2%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 11 $299 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 11 $42 −$1 -2%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $42 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 10 $54 −$1 -1%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $237 −$1 -0%
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $55 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $61 −$1 -2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 07 $60 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 07 $384 −$1 -0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $282 −$2 -1%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 06 $103 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $305 −$1 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Jun 05 $42 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $287 −$1 -0%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 04 $48 −$1 -2%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June Jun 04 $55 −$1 -2%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $397 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $60 $0 -0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 03 $55 −$1 -1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 02 $58 −$2 -3%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $535 −$2 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 01 $48 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $231 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $167 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $104 $0 -0%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 31 $135 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $111 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $317 −$1 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 29 $47 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $48 $0 -0%
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? May 27 $59 $0 -1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 27 $220 $0 -0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 27 $90 −$2 -3%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 26 $123 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $94 $0 +0%
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 May 25 $51 $0 -0%
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? May 25 $56 −$2 -3%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? May 25 $256 $0 -0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 25 $57 −$1 -2%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? May 24 $219 −$6 -3%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 24 $60 −$1 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 23 $99 −$8 -9%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? May 23 $42 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 25% −$21
other 21% −$7
sports 20% −$9
crypto 12% −$17
world 6% −$9
economics 5% −$3
culture 4% −$2
finance 3% −$17
tech 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 98¢ $57 49m
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 92¢ $52 1h
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 92¢ $52 9h
Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $7 9h
Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $7 16h
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $52 16h
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $53 21h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 96¢ $44 21h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $44 29h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 97¢ $66 30h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 97¢ $12 34h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 97¢ $54 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 93¢ $45 34h
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $46 40h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $63 41h
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $63 45h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL No 95¢ $41 45h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 97¢ $42 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $41 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $42 2d
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World SELL Yes 93¢ $54 2d
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 94¢ $54 2d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 95¢ $58 2d
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $59 2d
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 96¢ $55 2d
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $55 3d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 95¢ $49 3d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $49 3d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 95¢ $19 3d
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 95¢ $19 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -0.8% -10.3% 0% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 70 -1.0% -10.4% 3% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 155 -0.5% -10.0% 17% 0% -9.9%
all 159 -0.5% -10.0% 18% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.9%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.27 · official $57.27 (match) · 661 history records