Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3aa…20ff
politics · 32 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage72d
Avg bet$474
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,119 −$2 -0%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $739 −$1 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 13 $1,131 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $1,123 −$2 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $1,113 −$1 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 Jun 12 $65 $0 -0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $1,107 −$2 -0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 11 $73 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $1,118 −$2 -0%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $14 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $1,188 −$3 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 16 $68 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 16 $32 $0 -0%
Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? May 15 $32 $0 -0%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? Apr 16 $732 −$1 -0%
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 16 $46 $0 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $659 −$1 -0%
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Apr 15 $741 −$1 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 15 $37 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $700 −$1 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 15 $717 −$1 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $59 $0 -0%
Will Colorado Rockies win the 2026 National League Championship Series Apr 14 $724 −$1 -0%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 14 $674 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $688 −$1 -0%
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 07 $156 $0 -0%
Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi Apr 06 $27 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 06 $35 $0 -0%
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Apr 02 $138 $0 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 02 $65 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Apr 02 $20 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 41% −$9
other 31% −$5
culture 15% −$4
world 8% −$1
crypto 4% −$1
sports 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $1,118 2m
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $45 11m
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $11 21m
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1,089 28m
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $11 34m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? SELL No 100¢ $1,129 50m
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $23 56m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $1,106 1h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $30 1h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $861 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $261 1h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,123 2h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,111 22h
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 SELL No 100¢ $65 23h
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 BUY No 100¢ $16 23h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,101 23h
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 BUY No 100¢ $28 23h
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $25 23h
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 BUY No 100¢ $21 23h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 24h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $799 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $25 24h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $306 24h
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,107 25h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $73 44h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $1,116 44h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $22 45h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1,085 45h
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $28 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 32 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 32 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 108 history records