Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:29:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3a5…534c
crypto · 673 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,715 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,700 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$5,700
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses280 / 391
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$659
Open positions2
Markets (closed)671 / 673
History coverage44d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day35.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 671 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$1,358
14 days−$2,615
30 days−$4,882
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 68¢ 69¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 72¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Zena Esports 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs KRÜ Esports 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 56¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 21¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 58¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 35¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 −$9 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $20 −$11 -52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $46 −$40 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $15 +$23 +149%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$14 +137%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 −$5 -66%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $46 −$37 -79%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$36 +117%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$8 -50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$32 +314%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$10 -85%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$12 +118%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$2 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $15 +$15 +99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$18 +165%
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$16 -42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $56 −$36 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $53 +$28 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$3 -61%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $38 −$37 -98%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Frites Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stag Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$19 -92%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $66 +$19 +28%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eu Jun 08 $15 −$15 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $293 −$152 -52%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $46 −$30 -65%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$31 +60%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 08 $20 −$20 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $109 +$123 +113%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $15 −$15 -97%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $91 +$66 +72%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $205 −$106 -52%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$13 -88%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 08 $21 −$5 -22%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $506 −$363 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$3,568
crypto 22% −$1,845
other 1% −$212
politics 0% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 68¢ $5 14m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 15¢ $4 15m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 26¢ $0 23m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 43¢ $13 26m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 12¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 37¢ $11 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 37m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 9¢ $10 41m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 51¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 4¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 4¢ $6 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 18¢ $20 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 20¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 32¢ $36 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $38 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 99¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 41¢ $10 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 39¢ $15 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 51¢ $12 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Legacy 11¢ $2 26h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Leviatán Esports 4¢ $9 26h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 17¢ $15 27h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 34¢ $41 27h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 16¢ $10 27h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $66 27h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 13¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -28.3% -35.1% 34% 30% -17.5%
≤30d 420 -16.4% -24.4% 44% 38% -17.4%
≤90d 671 -15.9% -23.9% 42% 37% -17.0%
all 671 -15.9% -23.9% 42% 37% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 37% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -31.2% 33% -25.0%
15% -37.9% 28% -32.2%
20% -43.9% 23% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.12 · official $5.12 (match) · 1823 history records