Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3a1…d929
sports · 152 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$170 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$169 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$169
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses76 / 75
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)151 / 152
History coverage138d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$152
7 days+$152
14 days+$132
30 days+$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-5%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz KT Wiz 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 91¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 26¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers KT Wiz 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 67¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 27¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 66¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Lakers 58¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 73¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA 25¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $54 +$59 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$25 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz Jun 12 $47 +$46 +99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $24 +$24 +99%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 05 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $22 −$15 -67%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 07 $28 −$28 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 07 $40 −$30 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 07 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 07 $8 −$7 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 06 $7 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 06 $4 +$4 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 06 $2 +$2 +94%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 06 $6 −$5 -78%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 06 $29 −$29 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros May 05 $17 −$1 -4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 05 $27 +$9 +34%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz May 05 $16 +$11 +70%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners May 05 $8 +$8 +99%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 03 $27 −$27 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 03 $53 −$53 -100%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers May 03 $22 +$32 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 03 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 03 $9 −$7 -72%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels May 03 $14 −$8 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 03 $4 +$3 +76%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 02 $115 −$112 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors May 02 $63 +$51 +81%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) May 02 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 01 $10 +$15 +143%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 01 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 01 $10 −$3 -30%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers May 01 $35 +$32 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 01 $8 +$14 +163%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 30 $21 −$21 -99%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Apr 30 $16 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Apr 29 $2 +$4 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Apr 29 $7 +$6 +91%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres Apr 29 $20 −$14 -71%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Apr 29 $11 +$9 +88%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 29 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Apr 29 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Apr 29 $4 −$1 -34%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 26 $20 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 19 $14 −$9 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 19 $7 +$6 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Apr 19 $5 +$2 +39%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz Apr 19 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Apr 19 $22 +$4 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$120
crypto 26% −$51
other 4% −$1
politics 1% −$1
finance 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $12 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $112 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $54 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 12h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz SELL KT Wiz 99¢ $93 16h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 49¢ $29 16h
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz BUY KT Wiz 49¢ $17 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $47 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $24 18h
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers BUY KT Wiz 23¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $7 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $22 11d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY BNK FEARX 67¢ $28 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 27¢ $15 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 27¢ $6 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Dplus KIA 26¢ $8 36d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 54¢ $18 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 37d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 37d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 37d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 37d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 37d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 37d
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 SELL Nongshim Red Force 4¢ $1 37d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +71.8% +55.4% 80% 80% +77.6%
≤30d 7 +27.4% +15.2% 57% 57% +54.8%
≤90d 100 +1.8% -7.9% 48% 46% -19.1%
all 151 +8.2% -2.1% 50% 47% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.1% 47% -11.2%
10% -11.5% 44% -19.7%
15% -20.0% 41% -27.4%
20% -27.9% 34% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.45 · official $11.45 (match) · 397 history records