Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3a0…d215
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$46 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$23
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage14d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 85¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $41 +$17 +41%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $22 +$20 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$29
other 40% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $20 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $20 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 98¢ $58 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $41 2d
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $22 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+40.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +37.4% +24.3% 100% 100% +25.3%
≤30d 3 +54.8% +40.0% 100% 100% +37.5%
≤90d 3 +54.8% +40.0% 100% 100% +37.5%
all 3 +54.8% +40.0% 100% 100% +37.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +40.0% 100% +37.5%
10% +26.6% 100% +24.3%
15% +14.4% 67% +12.3%
20% +3.2% 33% +1.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.78 · official $22.78 (match) · 7 history records