Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:21:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc397…bb3b
sports · 1030 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$12,768 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,723 · open +$90
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,270
Realized+$12,723
Unrealized+$90
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses664 / 363
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$4,242
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1027 / 1030
History coverage62d
Avg bet$292
Trades / day44.3
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1027 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,218
7 days+$2,807
14 days+$4,465
30 days+$4,800
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 83¢ 100¢ $700 $839 +$139 (+20%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 28¢ 100¢ $78 $278 +$200 (+256%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 73¢ 56¢ $200 $154 −$46 (-23%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 −$123 -61%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $608 +$141 +23%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $202 −$202 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $201 +$24 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $203 +$215 +106%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $207 +$36 +18%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $202 +$93 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$62 +31%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $200 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$88 +44%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $201 +$65 +32%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $309 −$46 -15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $203 +$19 +10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$27 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $201 +$42 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$80 +40%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$58 +29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$46 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 +$318 +156%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$29 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$106 +52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $406 −$62 -15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $203 −$72 -36%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$131 +65%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $404 +$86 +21%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$77 +38%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$43 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $202 +$66 +33%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $303 +$175 +58%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $201 +$46 +23%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $200 +$4 +2%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $201 +$57 +28%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $202 +$84 +42%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $202 +$106 +52%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $310 +$121 +39%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $404 +$159 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$46 +23%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $206 +$56 +27%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $203 −$203 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $213 +$137 +64%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $244 +$65 +26%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $201 +$29 +14%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $202 −$159 -78%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $102 −$82 -81%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$58 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$12,991
other 0% −$178
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 73¢ $202 4m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 43¢ $113 26m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 80¢ $418 28m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 28¢ $306 37m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 33¢ $0 38m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 33¢ $77 38m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 13¢ $103 41m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 65¢ $0 47m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $306 47m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 65¢ $151 47m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $201 54m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 84¢ $201 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 84¢ $201 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 83¢ $302 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 84¢ $201 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $98 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $204 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 82¢ $392 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 83¢ $187 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 32¢ $2 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 58¢ $202 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 55¢ $203 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 46¢ $167 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 53¢ $203 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 59¢ $202 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 89¢ $201 13h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $202 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 97¢ $200 15h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 94¢ $200 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 69¢ $202 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 +7.1% -3.1% 68% 58% -2.8%
≤30d 544 +3.1% -6.7% 64% 54% -6.9%
≤90d 1027 +6.9% -3.3% 65% 55% -5.7%
all 1027 +6.9% -3.3% 65% 55% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 55% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -12.6% 43% -14.7%
15% -21.0% 31% -22.9%
20% -28.8% 19% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,269.92 · official $1,269.92 (match) · 3500 history records