Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc394…6572
crypto · 115 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$144 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$144 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Net worth$0
Realized−$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses69 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 115
History coverage353d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$168
7 days−$168
14 days−$168
30 days−$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 74¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 37¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 34¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 86¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 83¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? No 10¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? No 19¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Du Plessis 33¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 72¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 77¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 20¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 68¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 63¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$18 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$29 -81%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$25 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$20 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$22 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 36% −$137
other 35% −$97
world 13% −$30
sports 13% +$101
politics 3% +$18
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
culture 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -3.6% -12.7% 73% 48% -27.7%
≤30d 67 -3.6% -12.7% 73% 48% -27.7%
≤90d 67 -3.6% -12.7% 73% 48% -27.7%
all 114 +1.1% -8.5% 61% 39% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 39% -14.7%
10% -17.3% 31% -22.9%
15% -25.3% 18% -30.4%
20% -32.6% 15% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $5.00 · 267 history records