Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:55:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc38a…52be
crypto · 71 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$110 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses59 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)71 / 71
History coverage1d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day214.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$110
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$59 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$10 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$10 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $227 −$203 -90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $251 +$12 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $251 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$11 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$13 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$22 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $110 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$10 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$9 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $122 +$9 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$9 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $71 +$15 +21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$21 +69%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$19 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $51 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $51 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $48 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $30 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +1.2% -8.4% 83% 35% -12.6%
≤30d 71 +1.2% -8.4% 83% 35% -12.6%
≤90d 71 +1.2% -8.4% 83% 35% -12.6%
all 71 +1.2% -8.4% 83% 35% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover214.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 35% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 17% -21.0%
15% -25.2% 11% -28.6%
20% -32.5% 8% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 320 history records