Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:22:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc387…eccc
crypto · 1101 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$307 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$307 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses828 / 273
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1101 / 1101
History coverage11d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day137.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$146
14 days−$307
30 days−$307
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 57¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 84¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 80¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 57¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 52¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 59¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 84¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 57¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 75¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 86¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 87¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 81¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 85¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 85¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +32%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$307
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $12 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $12 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $12 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $12 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $12 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $12 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $12 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 -5.3% -14.4% 80% 51% -14.9%
≤30d 1101 -3.3% -12.5% 75% 44% -12.4%
≤90d 1101 -3.3% -12.5% 75% 44% -12.4%
all 1101 -3.3% -12.5% 75% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 44% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 22% -20.8%
15% -28.5% 15% -28.5%
20% -35.5% 12% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2393 history records