Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:45:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc381…edbf
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses11 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)29 / 30
History coverage6d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 62¢ 66¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$69 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$12 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$43 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$20 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$18 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 07 $15 −$13 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 07 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 07 $21 +$18 +87%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -8.0% -16.7% 38% 38% -18.7%
≤30d 29 -8.0% -16.7% 38% 38% -18.7%
≤90d 29 -8.0% -16.7% 38% 38% -18.7%
all 29 -8.0% -16.7% 38% 38% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 38% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 38% -26.4%
15% -32.0% 38% -33.6%
20% -38.6% 38% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.28 · official $5.28 (match) · 247 history records