trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | −$7 | -34% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $132 | −$10 | -8% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 13 | $192 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$28 | +109% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $36 | +$64 | +180% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $55 | −$31 | -57% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $45 | −$44 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Jun 11 | $1,095 | +$405 | +37% |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | May 11 | $910 | +$90 | +10% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Mar 25 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Rockets | Feb 24 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 24 | $10 | +$57 | +567% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 12 | $132 | −$9 | -7% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Feb 12 | $199 | +$1 | +0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nuggets | Feb 12 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Feb 11 | $156 | −$156 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Feb 11 | $74 | −$62 | -83% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Feb 11 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 11 | $217 | −$17 | -8% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Feb 11 | $508 | +$24 | +5% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Feb 10 | $276 | +$26 | +9% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 10 | $124 | −$3 | -3% |
| Nuggets vs. Knicks | Feb 10 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 10 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 10 | $130 | −$30 | -23% |
| Celtics vs. Mavericks | Feb 04 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Magic | Feb 01 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 01 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Lakers vs. Wizards | Feb 01 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Kings vs. Celtics | Feb 01 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Pelicans vs. 76ers | Feb 01 | $184 | +$16 | +9% |
| Spurs vs. Hornets | Feb 01 | $198 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 | Feb 01 | $200 | +$181 | +91% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | Feb 01 | $896 | +$10 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 | Jan 30 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Jan 30 | $186 | +$13 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026 | Jan 30 | $195 | +$5 | +3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 30 | $396 | +$4 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Jan 28 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Jan 19 | $59 | +$35 | +59% |
| Jazz vs. Cavaliers | Jan 13 | $16 | +$84 | +525% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Jan 09 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. 76ers | Jan 09 | $99 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Jan 09 | $90 | +$10 | +11% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -30.3% | -36.9% | 29% | 29% | +6.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -30.3% | -36.9% | 29% | 29% | +6.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -32.1% | -38.6% | 31% | 25% | +1.7% |
| all | 451 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 73% | 20% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 20% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -20.5% | 14% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 11% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 8% | -32.1% |