Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc373…d004
crypto · 65 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$15 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses42 / 23
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage29d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $27 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 26 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 26 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 26 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 26 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 26 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 26 $12 −$9 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 26 $14 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 25 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 25 $12 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 25 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 25 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 25 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 25 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 25 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET May 25 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 25 $17 −$5 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$3
sports 11% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 26m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $32 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 56m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 94¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 78¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +8.3% -2.0% 81% 48% -2.9%
≤30d 65 -5.4% -14.5% 65% 46% -7.6%
≤90d 65 -5.4% -14.5% 65% 46% -7.6%
all 65 -5.4% -14.5% 65% 46% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 46% -7.6%
10% -22.6% 25% -16.4%
15% -30.1% 12% -24.5%
20% -37.0% 8% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 203 history records