Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc35d…088b
crypto · 276 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$30 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses138 / 137
Open positions1
Markets (closed)275 / 276
History coverage101d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 71¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+143%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+101%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +166%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +55.5% +40.7% 50% 39% -17.6%
≤30d 64 +55.5% +40.7% 50% 39% -17.6%
≤90d 115 +48.2% +34.1% 57% 45% -2.6%
all 275 +21.4% +9.8% 50% 38% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.8% 38% -11.0%
10% -0.7% 26% -19.5%
15% -10.3% 17% -27.3%
20% -19.1% 11% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.63 · official $1.02 (match) · 1682 history records