| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Jun 20 |
$3 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
Jun 20 |
$48 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 19 |
$69 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Jun 19 |
$41 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
May 27 |
$79 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab |
May 26 |
$39 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? |
May 26 |
$75 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra |
May 26 |
$36 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? |
May 24 |
$3 |
$0 |
-8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? |
May 23 |
$56 |
−$3 |
-5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? |
May 23 |
$44 |
−$6 |
-14% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma |
May 23 |
$44 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 21 |
$43 |
−$1 |
-1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? |
May 21 |
$18 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
May 18 |
$32 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July? |
Mar 31 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? |
Dec 16 |
$9 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? |
Dec 16 |
$2 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? |
Jun 19 |
$1 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 National League Championship? |
Jun 09 |
$13 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times June 6–13? |
Jun 09 |
$13 |
$0 |
-3% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 |
Jun 08 |
$13 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025? |
Jun 06 |
$13 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%? |
Jun 05 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? |
Jun 05 |
$13 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? |
May 05 |
$3 |
$0 |
+7% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? |
Apr 29 |
$12 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? |
Apr 10 |
$28 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? |
Apr 10 |
$16 |
+$15 |
+94% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? |
Apr 07 |
$16 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2? |
Apr 05 |
$16 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? |
Apr 04 |
$16 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday? |
Apr 04 |
$15 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? |
Apr 03 |
$5 |
$0 |
+5% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? |
Apr 01 |
$2 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? |
Apr 01 |
$27 |
$0 |
+1% |